BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Tarleton St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 269 Conference: Western Athletic Record: (2-16) Overall: (8-21) Overall Strength =   29.24

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-09-2022 Home    W    22.05  90  40   ZZ 192 (  0-  3) Arlington Bap          -7.40 *   57.40                      
  2 11-12-2022 Home    W    27.90  73  46   ZZ  85 (  0-  4) UNT Dallas             -1.55 *   28.55                      
  3 11-15-2022 Away    L    13.07  48  84    1  96 ( 12- 19) Vanderbilt            -16.37    -19.63                      
  4 11-18-2022 Home    W    35.84  82  72    1 265 ( 11- 17) Col Charleston          6.40      3.60                      
  5 11-22-2022 Away    L    43.70  53  71    1  39 ( 16- 14) Nebraska               14.26 *  -32.26                      
  6 11-30-2022 Away    W    43.13  84  69    1 305 ( 10- 20) W Illinois             13.68      1.32                      
  7 12-06-2022 Home    W    40.27  86  69    1 301 (  6- 25) Weber St               10.83      6.17                      
  8 12-10-2022 Away    L    24.55  45  65    1 129 ( 18- 10) E Washington           -4.89    -15.11                      
  9 12-14-2022 Home    W    39.75  67  46    1 337 ( 11- 17) Northwestern LA        10.31     10.69                      
 10 12-19-2022 Neutral L    45.98  77  80 1  1  88 ( 24-  7) Ball St                16.53    -19.53                      
 11 12-21-2022 Neutral L    34.00  43  55    1 109 ( 20- 10) Richmond                4.56    -16.56                      
 12 12-29-2022 Home    L *  17.31  43  61    1 155 ( 15- 14) Abilene Chr           -12.14     -5.86                      
 13 12-31-2022 Away    L *  17.13  68  92    1 158 ( 14- 16) UT Arlington          -12.31    -11.69                      
 14 01-05-2023 Away    L *  25.05  51  70    1 140 ( 20-  9) Grand Canyon           -4.40    -14.60                      
 15 01-07-2023 Away    L *  22.36  43  61    1 168 ( 15- 15) New Mexico St          -7.08    -10.92                      
 16 01-11-2023 Home    W *  40.86  70  60    1 230 ( 12- 17) UTRGV                  11.42     -1.42                      
 17 01-14-2023 Home    L *  30.01  70  76    1 158 ( 14- 16) UT Arlington            0.57     -6.57                      
 18 01-19-2023 Home    L *  18.33  66  81    1 209 ( 12- 16) Sam Houston St        -11.12     -3.88                      
 19 01-26-2023 Away    L *  14.87  44  70    1 157 ( 18- 11) Utah Tech             -14.57    -11.43                      
 20 01-28-2023 Away    L *  36.48  48  55    1 139 ( 20-  9) Southern Utah           7.04    -14.04                      
 21 02-04-2023 Home    L *  16.49  59  63 1  1 314 (  6- 23) Utah Valley           -12.96      8.96                      
 22 02-06-2023 Home    L *  35.24  54  68    1  67 ( 25-  5) SF Austin               5.80    -19.80                      
 23 02-09-2023 Away    L *  17.37  49  62    1 288 (  5- 23) Seattle               -12.07     -0.93                      
 24 02-11-2023 Home    L *  33.67  84  89 2  1 136 ( 17- 12) Cal Baptist             4.23     -9.23                      
 25 02-16-2023 Away    L *  22.43  60  78    1 155 ( 15- 14) Abilene Chr            -7.02    -10.98                      
 26 02-18-2023 Away    L *  37.45  58  59    1 209 ( 12- 16) Sam Houston St          8.00     -9.00                      
 27 02-22-2023 Away    L *  27.98  58  66    1 230 ( 12- 17) UTRGV                  -1.46     -6.54                      
 28 02-25-2023 Home    L *  36.36  78  80 1  1 139 ( 20-  9) Southern Utah           6.91     -8.91                      
 29 02-28-2023 Home    W *  34.25  74  65    1 288 (  5- 23) Seattle                 4.81      4.19                      
      Averages              29.45  62.9 67.3

Best game:   45.98 = 3 point loss to Ball St
Worst game:  13.07 = 36 point loss to Vanderbilt
Team stdev:   9.88